Skip to content
SHAWN HACK
PULSE
Real-time signals from the Singularity
22 metrics
|
6 categories
AI Progress
Model capability and cost frontiers
Token Cost (Frontier)
Cost per million tokens for the cheapest frontier-class model
$0.075/M
99.9% drop since 2020
API pricing
2026-02-01
Token Cost (Frontier): History
2024-05
5
2024-07
0.15
2025-01
0.1
2025-06
0.075
Context Window Frontier
Largest context window available from a frontier model
10M tokens
Llama 4 Scout
Meta, Google, Anthropic
2026-04-09
Context Window Frontier: History
2023-11
128,000
2024-02
1,000,000
2024-05
2,000,000
2025-04
10,000,000
Humanity's Last Exam
Expert-level exam designed to be the last test AI cannot pass
44.7%
Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview
Artificial Analysis
2026-04-09
Humanity's Last Exam: History
2025-11
25.2
2026-01
34.4
2026-03
37.5
2026-04
44.7
METR Time Horizon
Longest human-calibrated task duration at which AI agents succeed 50% of the time
14.5h
Doubling every ~3 months
METR
2026-04-17
METR Time Horizon: History
2025-04
2
2025-08
3.6
2025-11
5.3
2026-02
14.5
Arena Elo Frontier
Highest Elo rating from blind human preference voting
1781
GPT-5.5
Arena
2026-04-23
Arena Elo Frontier: History
2026-04-24
1,553
2026-04-22
1,571
2026-04-16
1,753
2026-04-23
1,781
SWE-bench Frontier
Best score on real-world GitHub issue resolution by AI
87.6%
Claude Opus 4.7
SWE-bench Verified
2026-04-16
SWE-bench Frontier: History
2026-02-19
80.6
2026-02-05
80.8
2025-11-24
80.9
2026-04-16
87.6
Hardware
Compute substrate scaling
Chip Transistor Count
Transistors on the most advanced shipping processor
208B
NVIDIA B300 (R100 336B in production, shipping H2 2026)
NVIDIA
2026-04-09
Chip Transistor Count: History
2017-01
19.2
2020-01
54.2
2022-01
114
2024-01
208
Training Compute Frontier
Peak compute used to train a single frontier model
2e26 FLOP
2025 frontier
Epoch AI
2025-01-01
Training Compute Frontier: History
2022-01-01
24.699
2023-01-01
25.301
2024-01-01
25.699
2025-01-01
26.301
GPU TFLOPS Frontier
Peak FP16 performance of the latest data center GPU
2,500 TFLOPS
B300
NVIDIA
2025-01-01
GPU TFLOPS Frontier: History
2020-01-01
312
2022-01-01
1,979
2024-01-01
2,250
2025-01-01
2,500
Robotics
Physical AI deployment
Autonomous Miles Driven
Cumulative miles driven by fully autonomous vehicles
200M+
Waymo 500K rides/week
Waymo
2026-04-09
Autonomous Miles Driven: History
2023-01
40
2024-01
65
2025-01
100
2026-02
200
Humanoid Robots Deployed
Humanoid robots operating in real-world environments
~20,000
Unitree 10-20K target, Figure 12K capacity
Omdia, industry reports
2026-03-23
Humanoid Robots Deployed: History
2024-01
1,500
2025-06
5,000
2025-12
10,000
2026-03
20,000
Cost per Humanoid
Estimated manufacturing cost per humanoid robot unit
~$40K
Unitree G1 at $13.5K
Industry estimates
2026-02-01
Cost per Humanoid: History
2024-01
150,000
2025-01
80,000
2025-12
50,000
2026-02
40,000
Industrial Robots Deployed
Total operational industrial robots worldwide
4.94M
2025 global fleet
IFR
2025-01-01
Industrial Robots Deployed: History
2021-01-01
3.48
2023-01-01
4.28
2024-01-01
4.66
2025-01-01
4.94
Macro Trends
Global-scale indicators
Kardashev Rating
Civilization's energy use on a logarithmic scale where 1.0 = all of Earth's energy
0.729
Type I = 1.0
Sagan interpolation
2026-04-17
Kardashev Rating: History
1975-01
0.67
2000-01
0.72
2025-01
0.728
2026-01
0.729
Global AI Investment
Total annual corporate investment in AI (private + M&A + IPO + PE)
$582B
Corporate AI investment (2025)
Stanford HAI AI Index 2026
2026-04-16
Global AI Investment: History
2022-01
52
2023-01
67
2024-01
252
2025-01
582
Global AI Spending
Total worldwide spending on AI including infrastructure, software, and services
$2.5T
Infrastructure = $1.37T
Gartner
2026-01-15
Global AI Spending: History
2023-01
180
2024-01
450
2025-01
1,200
2026-01
2,520
Renewable Energy %
Share of global electricity generation from renewable sources
35%
Surpassing coal in 2025
IEA
2026-01-01
Renewable Energy %: History
2020-01
27
2022-01
29
2024-01
32
2025-01
35
Longevity
Lifespan extension progress
Longevity Clinical Trials
Active clinical trials targeting aging and age-related disease
~350
Active aging/longevity trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
2026-04-17
Longevity Clinical Trials: History
2020-01
130
2022-01
200
2024-01
280
2025-12
350
Epigenetic Clock Accuracy
Mean error in predicting biological age from DNA methylation
±1.7 yrs
Generation Scotland chronological predictor
Refining epigenetic prediction (Genome Medicine 2023)
2026-04-17
Epigenetic Clock Accuracy: History
2018-01
2.7
2019-01
2.5
2022-01
2
2025-01
1.7
Gene Therapies Approved
FDA-approved gene and cell therapy treatments
46
FDA-approved
FDA, BioInformant
2026-02-01
Gene Therapies Approved: History
2023-01
22
2024-01
28
2025-06
34
2026-02
46
Brain-Computer Interfaces
Neural interface milestones
Implanted BCI Patients
People with surgically implanted brain-computer interfaces
~31
Neuralink 21, Synchron 10
Company announcements
2026-04-17
Implanted BCI Patients: History
2024-01
8
2025-06
12
2025-12
15
2026-02
31
BCI Electrode Count
Recording channels on the leading implanted neural interface
1,024
Neuralink N1
Neuralink
2026-04-17
BCI Electrode Count: History
2012-01
96
2019-01
256
2023-01
1,024
2025-01
1,024