EXPONENTIALS
The data behind accelerating change
Humans think linearly, but technology advances exponentially. These charts track the trends that underpin the Singularity thesis, from compute and AI to biology, energy, and data. Most of these curves have held for decades and show no sign of slowing.
1026
FLOP (2025)
5T
Parameters
336B
Transistors
$200
Genome Cost
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HISTORICAL DATA
PROJECTED
FUTURE ZONE
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An analysis of the history of technology shows that technological change is exponential, contrary to the common-sense 'intuitive linear' view. So we won't experience 100 years of progress in the 21st century. It will be more like 20,000 years of progress.RAY KURZWEILTHE SINGULARITY IS NEAR (2005)