
Essential resources for understanding the future

Douglas Hofstadter
Classic exploration of consciousness, self-reference, and the nature of mind.

K. Eric Drexler
The foundational book on nanotechnology that introduced molecular manufacturing and its transformative potential.

Hans Moravec
Pioneering work on robotics and AI, introducing Moravec's paradox and predictions about machine intelligence.

Ray Kurzweil
Kurzweil's foundational work on AI, featuring essays by experts and predictions about machine intelligence.

K. Eric Drexler
Technical treatise providing detailed engineering analysis of molecular nanotechnology.

Ray Kurzweil
Kurzweil's predictions for the 21st century, exploring how machines will match and exceed human intelligence.

Hans Moravec
Vision of robot evolution from industrial machines to superintelligent beings.

Ray Kurzweil
The definitive roadmap to the technological Singularity, with detailed predictions and exponential trend analysis.

Aubrey de Grey
The scientific case for defeating biological aging through targeted medical interventions.

Peter Diamandis & Steven Kotler
Optimistic vision of how exponential technologies will solve humanity's grand challenges.

Ray Kurzweil
Kurzweil's theory of pattern recognition and the path to brain emulation.

K. Eric Drexler
Updated vision for atomically precise manufacturing and how it could transform civilization.

James Barrat
Investigation into the risks of artificial general intelligence and superintelligence.

Nick Bostrom
Rigorous analysis of the risks and challenges posed by artificial superintelligence.

Michio Kaku
Physicist's perspective on consciousness, brain-computer interfaces, and mind uploading.
Scott Alexander
Influential essay on coordination failures and existential risk.
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Comprehensive guide to human rationality and its application to thinking about AI and existential risk.

Murray Shanahan
Accessible introduction to the singularity concept from an AI researcher.

Pedro Domingos
Quest for the ultimate learning algorithm that could derive all knowledge from data.
Tim Urban (Wait But Why)
Accessible two-part introduction to AI and its implications.

Robin Hanson
Economic and social analysis of a world dominated by brain emulations.
Amodei et al.
Foundational paper outlining key technical challenges in AI safety.

Max Tegmark
Exploration of how AI will transform the future of life, work, and society.
Vaswani et al.
The paper introducing the Transformer architecture that powers modern LLMs.

Stuart Russell
A new approach to AI development that prioritizes human values and preferences.

David Sinclair
Harvard geneticist's groundbreaking research on aging as a treatable disease.
Rich Sutton
Influential essay arguing that compute and general methods beat hand-crafted approaches.

Peter Diamandis & Steven Kotler
How converging technologies are transforming business, industries, and our lives.
Kaplan et al. (OpenAI)
Empirical study showing predictable relationships between model size, data, and performance.

Toby Ord
Comprehensive analysis of existential risks facing humanity, including AI.

Brian Christian
Accessible exploration of how to make AI systems that reflect human values.
Gwern Branwen
Comprehensive analysis of why scaling neural networks leads to AGI.

Jeff Hawkins
New theory of intelligence based on cortical columns and reference frames.
Anthropic
Anthropic's approach to training AI systems to be helpful, harmless, and honest.
Hoffmann et al. (DeepMind)
The Chinchilla paper showing optimal balance between model size and training data.
Wei et al. (Google)
Analysis of capabilities that emerge unpredictably at scale.
OpenAI
Technical details and capabilities of GPT-4.
Microsoft Research
Analysis of GPT-4's capabilities and their relationship to AGI.

Ray Kurzweil
Updated vision for the path to Singularity, reviewing predictions and charting the final steps to merging with AI.
Leopold Aschenbrenner
Detailed analysis of the path to AGI and its implications.
Nathan Benaich & Ian Hogarth
Annual comprehensive review of AI progress across research, industry, and policy.